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[Sticky] Russia-Ukraine War Geopolitical Analysis

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josh avatar
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Putin and Communism: Since the invasion began, I've come to believe that he was and still is a Communist:

  • in his first career, he was a KGB officer (1976-1991)
  • he has said that the collapse of the USSR was a catastrophe
  • in 2017, he gave the opening address to a meeting of a Communist youth group in the Russian city of Sochi
  • in another thread, I posted a news story that included a photo of a Russian armored vehicle flying a Soviet flag during the current war. One vehicle flying this flag is one thing, but it’s something else when this image is part of a video published by the Russian Ministry of Defense.

Putin has never publicly repented of saying/doing any of these things, and he has not expressed any regret or remorse for them.

In the following examples, Putin has followed the the Communist pattern:

  • Unprovoked invasions of other countries: Stalin invaded the eastern section of Poland in 1939, Finland in 1939-40, and all of the Baltic states in 1940. Putin invaded Ukraine on February 24.
  • Deportations of civilians: On June 14, 1941, 15,000 Latvians were herded into railroad cars and deported to the Soviet Union. During the present war, I've read about "filtration camps" and Ukrainians being sent to Russia.
  • Genocide: If Solzhenitsyn was correct, 66 million Russians were murdered by Stalin. Only the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has murdered more. Putin hasn't killed people on this scale, but neither has he publicly chastened anyone in the Russian state media who has made cavalier remarks about nuking Britain or New York. Also, when Biden accused him of being a killer, Putin didn't deny it. Instead, he said that it takes one to know one.

Putin is a Bolshevik, he is following the Communist pattern, and he is the dictator of the country with the single largest stockpile of nuclear weapons in the world. Communists are just as dangerous as they were in the past, and they must be resolutely opposed at every turn.

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Economy

Russia's revenue from fossil fuel exports (alone) soared to 62 billion euros in March and April.



So the journalists of the British The Guardian are freaking out: Russia has almost doubled its revenues from the sale of fossil fuels in the EU in two months of conducting its military operation in Ukraine, benefiting from a sharp rise in prices, even despite the reduction in volumes.

According to an analysis of the movement of ships and cargo conducted by the Center for Energy and Clean Air Research, Russia earned about 62 billion euros from oil, gas and coal exports. For the whole of last year, there were about 140 billion, that is, roughly speaking, 12 billion a month.

"The higher prices that Russia can now demand for its oil and gas mean that its revenues, which flow through state-owned companies, have increased, even despite sanctions and export restrictions. Russia has effectively trapped the EU, where further restrictions will lead to further price increases, reducing its revenues, despite all the efforts of EU governments," the newspaper writes

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" Putin (may) open a new front and invade Moldova "




It should be noted that Romania is a member of NATO.

 

...
Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov told a Saudi broadcaster: ‘Moldova should worry about their own future. Because they’re being pulled into Nato.’
...

 

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Ukrainian Ministry of Defence insiders said: 'We believe the Kremlin has already taken the decision to attack Moldova', The Times reported.

'The fate of Moldova is crucial. If the Russians start to take control we will be [...] an easier target.'

Controlling Transnistria would forge a well-located supply point for the faltering invasion of southern Ukraine.

Strategic Black Sea port Odesa is just 35 miles from the border with Moldova - and 100 miles from capital Chisinau.
...



 

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Tiraspol airport is preparing to accept Russian Ilyushin-76 transport planes and helicopters, the Kyiv army insiders added. (Tiraspol is a Moldovan city within Transnistria.)

They said: 'That means they are preparing an airborne landing operation and there is a high probability the airborne troops will be delivered from Crimea.'
...

Both images were posted within the article linked to below.

Full story in the Daily Mail

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Romanian column spotted heading to the Moldovan border.
Interesting....

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Due to Combat Losses, "Russia has been 'forced to merge depleted units into new battalions' "

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image

"Ukraine (doesn't need) fictional "denazification," (it's) Russia that needs real de-Stalinization"

Click here to view the original image of 1122x631px.

The actual title of the opinion piece linked to below is a figure of speech. The photo is credited to the "Moskva News Agency", and it was included within the commentary.

Putin's system cannot be improved, reformed, modernized, or even simply normalized. It leads to the destruction of Russia. If there is (an) anti-Russian system, it is Putinism. If there is a symbol of anti-patriotism, oblivion and perversion of the basic foundations of the nation, it is Putin's elite.
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Putinism has lost its historical foundation, its historical self-determination. It has shredded, reduced the memory of the Great (Patriotic) War (World War II) to fictional paradigms and threats, to the odious 'denazification and demilitarization of Ukraine.' This is an astonishing historical example of a political regime getting rid of part of the basis for its own historical legitimacy.
...
Full commentary in The Moscow Times

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