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Why China will never be able to conquer Taiwan

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(@dadadas)
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China Russia alliance is a shakey one. Its like "you do this to the Yanks while i do that to the Yanks". No Chink would ever die for Russia to conquer Ukraine and no Russian would ever sacrifice their lives for China to absorb Taiwan. An alliance based on sharing a mutual enemy, not on sharing the same interests. The Anglophone (Yanks, Brits, Aussies) however do share the same interests with nation like Japan in protecting their trade routes & access to resources in Western Pacific. They will band together to deny the Chinks from projecting their naval power into the Western Pacific from Taiwan.

Heck we should not even be surprised if the French join hands with the Anglophones in protecting Taiwan. Despite the French not being a part of the Anglo family, France is still a naval power and would not want the Western Pacific pie to be split up even further.

So will China ever be able to conquer Taiwan? My answer is no.

If the conflict is just Taiwan v China 1 v 1? Of course China win.

But Taiwan is not alone. Thats the problem.

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Even if it was 1 v 1 only, china would get wrecked with sanctions and embargo like vietnam did.

But if china suceeds, there's a possibility that western powers will still suck up to china. China is still a big market for the anglo and european capitalists. And a lot of these countries depend on china for cheap manufacturing, big consumer market, import/export trade and investments + surplus of rich international chinese students into their universities. The economic loss would be too great for the anglos, euros and the yankee elite overlords. That's why china still gets preferential treatment from the west. Japan and korea will probably be at a standstill against china without nato support.

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@dumatkn Not Vietnamese regulars, Vietnamese border patrols + local militias were able to embarrass PLA by using just machine guns, anti tank weapons & employing mines.

If you ask me what is the best weapon against Chinks, we Viets will agree with the Japs that machine guns are the best option. No need for nuke, chemical nor bio weapon.

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The Chinks when they saw Soviets as a threat and wanted economic developement, they prioritized having good relations with US & the West. But now they want to project power into Western Pacific and acquire underlings. 

In the long term game of geopolitics, having one client state in a region is the first step for turning the whole region into your backyard. 1979 happened because we did not accept being the Chinks' underlings so that they can project power into SEA and we Viets destroyed Chinks' most loyal underlings in SEA - Khmer Rouge.

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In the long term game of geopolitics, having one client state in a region is the first step for turning the whole region into your backyard

Vietnam got laos as a client state  Cool china thought they could boss vietnam around but they forgot about le loi and quang trung. Vietnam is not a hong kong a taiwan or a southern yue china assiminilated bastard, or a paki or a sri lanken (china's only "":allies"""). China has a severe inferiority complex and wants to be the boss of the world.

cambodia would have become one (and still is, albeit politically and through hun sen) but because of china and US teamwork, the leadership got split up with norodom family (FUNCINPEC, FULRO) being the china and US lackey which allowed remnants of the khmer rouge (CNRP) and their ideology seep into a part of their politics and population including the khmer americans (VOK, KKF). Politics in cambodia atm is most favourable to vn because of hun sen - but hun sen needs to satisy the ultranationalistic descendants of the khmer rouge including his china sided faction in the internal politburo so he lets chinese gangs build casinos, drug dens, brothels,  scam call centres and ghosted chinese construction tofu dreg projects that local khmers cant even afford. Hopefully hun manet will follow the ways of his father when he becomes the boss of cam Smile  

 

 

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Posted by: @dumatkn

In the long term game of geopolitics, having one client state in a region is the first step for turning the whole region into your backyard

Vietnam got laos as a client state  Cool china thought they could boss vietnam around but they forgot about le loi and quang trung. Vietnam is not a hong kong a taiwan or a southern yue china assiminilated bastard, or a paki or a sri lanken (china's only "":allies"""). China has a severe inferiority complex and wants to be the boss of the world.

cambodia would have become one (and still is, albeit politically and through hun sen) but because of china and US teamwork, the leadership got split up with norodom family (FUNCINPEC, FULRO) being the china and US lackey which allowed remnants of the khmer rouge (CNRP) and their ideology seep into a part of their politics and population including the khmer americans (VOK, KKF). Politics in cambodia atm is most favourable to vn because of hun sen - but hun sen needs to satisy the ultranationalistic descendants of the khmer rouge including his china sided faction in the internal politburo so he lets chinese gangs build casinos, drug dens, brothels,  scam call centres and ghosted chinese construction tofu dreg projects that local khmers cant even afford. Hopefully hun manet will follow the ways of his father when he becomes the boss of cam Smile  

Chinks still have North Koreans as allies but you have to admit that other than North Korea, no one wants to be a true ally (aka underling) of the Chinks. Russians at least have Chechens & Syrians as allies.

 

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Heck just look at Inner Mogolia & Outer Mongolia. Inner Mongolia is supressed while Outer Mongolia is a republic. The Russians have enough land & resources already so they never need to do things like the Chinks do to their minorities.

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