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Causing global warming.
https://www.scirp.org/journal/paperinformation.aspx?papere=102353#:~:text=Between%201880%20and%202019%2C%20the%20theoretical%20increase%20in%20heating%20from,published%20models%2C%20within%200.64%25.
Autonomous Changes in the Concentration of Water Vapor Drive Climate Change
William A. Van Brunt
JFA, LLC, Wayzata, MN, USA.
DOI: 10.4236/acs.2020.104025 PDF HTML XML 434 Downloads 2,096 Views
JFA, LLC, Wayzata, MN, USA.
DOI: 10.4236/acs.2020.104025 PDF HTML XML 434 Downloads 2,096 Views
When compared to the average annual global temperature record from 1880, no published climate model posited on the assumption that the increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is the driver of climate change can accurately replicate the significant variability in the annual temperature record. Therefore, new principles of atmospheric physics are developed for determining changes in the average annual global temperature based on changes in the average atmospheric concentration of water vapor. These new principles prove that: 1) Changes in average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide; 2) Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, ΔTPW, drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, the average global temperature, ΔTAvg, in accordance with this principle, ΔTAvg=0.4ΔTPW the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880-2019, temperature record; 3) Changes in the concentration of water vapor and changes in water vapor heating are not a feedback response to changes in the concentration of CO2; 4) Rather, increases in water vapor heating and increases in the concentration of water vapor drive each other in an autonomous positive feedback loop; 5) This feedback loop can be brought to a halt if the average global rate of precipitation can be brought into balance with the average global rate of evaporation and maintained there; and, 6) The recent increases in average global temperature can be reversed, if average global precipitation can be increased sufficiently to slightly exceed the average rate of evaporation.
Keywords
Objectives
· Develop wholly new principles of atmospheric physics;
· Identify and prove the cause of climate change;
· In so doing, assess the role, if any, changes the increasing concentration of CO2 may play;
· Posit a possible solution to the existential problem that is global warming.
Global Warming
Since 1976, the average global temperature has been increasing at the rate of ~0.2˚C/decade. This is a very serious problem, becoming increasingly so and likely to become an existential threat to certain of those living on the margin around the globe.
Like any problem, to find a solution, the cause must be understood.
The increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is NOT the cause of climate change. Therefore, limiting the increase of or reducing carbon emissions is irrelevant.
The cause is the continuing increase in the concentration of water vapor, the primary greenhouse gas (GHG) with an average heating power significantly greater than CO2. As the annual average water vapor concentration changes, the average annual greenhouse heating from water vapor, varies year to year.
As shown below, the changes in the concentration of water vapor are driven in an autonomous positive feedback loop between evaporation variability as a result of changes in water vapor surface heating, WV, driving changes in the average global atmospheric concentration of water vapor and therefore, water vapor surface heating.
Posted : 19/08/2023 11:26 pm
Rick Cool reacted