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[Sticky] Russia-Ukraine War Geopolitical Analysis

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josh avatar
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On the Izyum Front: a route was identified for the supply of anti-tank weapons to the advanced positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Russian special forces destroyed a transporting GAZ-66 truck, and captured a large number of Swedish disposable AT4 RPGs, Stugna anti-tank systems and RPG-7 rounds.












Dmitry Medvedev: The goal of US assistance to Ukraine is to continue the proxy war against Russia, the desire to inflict a heavy defeat on our country, limit its economic development and political influence in the world.

Will not work. Their printing press, due to which America is constantly increasing its already inflated national debt, will break faster.

But the goals of the special operation will be achieved

Latvia:

The number of applications from Latvian citizens to move to the Russian Federation and to grant them Russian citizenship has increased, Russian Ambassador to Latvia Mikhail Vanin said on the Soloviev Live TV channel.

Hungary
Hungarian Foreign Minister: "Neither Brussels nor the European Commission has any proposals on how the Hungarian economy can cope with the blow in the event of an embargo on oil from the Russian Federation"

Unification (South Osetia and Kherson Regions)

Kherson: Authorities of Kherson region will turn to the President of Russia with a request to include the region into Russia - deputy head of the military-civilian administration of the region. The deadlines have been announced: by the end of the year, the Kherson region will pass under the legislation of Russian federation.

South Ossetia: The new president of South Ossetia Gagloev: as soon as the time comes, we are ready to hold a referendum on joining Russia

Denazification of the pontoon bridge in the village of Protopopovka near Izyum)


Night destruction of Ukrainian UAV



From Russia, with love <3

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" Ukraine thwarts Russian battalion's river-crossing "

image

"Ukrainian forces are trying to hold the cities of Severodonetsk and (Lysychansk) from Russian troops, which have almost managed to surround them. The river crossing attempt was designed to complete the encirclement, but was foiled" The image and this accompanying caption were posted within the article linked to below. Also, "(The attempted river crossing) came as Ukraine's generals said Russia's offensive in the Donbass has largely stalled, with Putin's troops forced on to the defensive north of Kharkiv as counter-attacks push the invaders back across their own border." (Regarding the attempted river crossing itself,) "Observers have so-far counted the wrecks of at least 58 Russian vehicles including tanks, armoured infantry carriers, trucks and even one tugboat that was blown up trying to position (a pontoon) bridge."

Russia was attempting to cross the Donets river at Bilohorivka to surround the city of Lysychansk, in Donbas
But (a) Ukrainian (combat) engineer claims to have successfully guessed where they would try to cross and laid a trap
Sound of tugboats putting temporary bridge in place triggered a massive artillery and airstrike barrage
Satellite images show bridge was destroyed along with dozens of Russian vehicles, inflicting heavy casualties
Full story in the Daily Mail

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Russia simply doesnt have a large stockpile of high tech weaponaries. I mean this doesnt come as a surprise since Russia prefers servicable weaponaries that can be mass produced quickly to sophisticated weaponaries that require high level of maintenance. Russians dont care about maintenance.

Posted by: @dadadas

Why Russia loses in Ukraine

For a small gain of tetorrities, Putin has exposed Russia as a declining power. What is the true image of Russia as a military power?

1) Lack of training & combat experience

2) Lack of morale

3) Lack of logistics, maintenance & corruption

4) Military structure problem, failed blitzkrieg & human wave tactics

(bureaucratic command structure not allowing quick decisions to be made by people on the ground, expecting Ukrainian military to surrender after a week of the invasion, doubling down on sending more troops and tanks through an easily ambushed area or a military chokepoint, favourtism to FSB downgrading the coordination between different branches of the military)

5) Being an advertiser for Turkish drones and NATO weapons

(Russia suffering high losses of tanks & military vehicles due to Turkish drones and NATO weapons being used in Ukraine's forest & urban areas)

6) Lack of soft power & being inferior to US in information warfare

(being condemned by various medias and having the military communications and plannings exposed by US intelligence to the world or leaked to the Ukrainian military)

7) Deficiencies in military technology

(consumer-grade GPS devices in SU-34, drones being equipped with civilian cameras, resorting to using crude artilery and dumb bombs as the war drags on, etc...)

8) Losing economic progress

(NATO countries bringing down the Russian economy to the level of Soviet era)

 

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@dadadas

Russians army black coordination 

A tally of Russian losses from the infamous failed Russian Siverskyi Donets river crossing near Bilohorivka.
In total 73 Russian equipment were destroyed/abandoned, including a BTG worth of AFVs.

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The assault on Severodonetsk has began!: the first units of the allies entered the city from Rubizhne, occupying 12 houses



The result of a missile attack on the base of the Ukrainian territorial defense in Novgorod-Seversky, Chernihiv region:











The ruble became the best currency of the year, surpassing the Brazilian real — Bloomberg


Russia's capital controls allowed the ruble to rise by 11%, outperforming the Brazilian real by 9% and becoming the leader among 31 major currencies, the newspaper writes:



The attack on Lisichansk


Having liberated Popasnaya, the troops of the LPR and Russia continue their offensive in a southerly direction from the city and to Lisichansk, cutting off Ukrainian militants from supply routes and leaving them no room to maneuver:



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More destroyed Ukrainian armored personnel carrier in the Liman direction







The Ukrainian command deceived the gunners, claiming that if they were taken prisoner, they would be killed - such testimony was given to the investigators of the RF Investigative Committee by the commander of the Ukrainian battery, who laid down his arms. According to him, everything is exactly the opposite: the prisoners were well received, fed, never beaten.

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Soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are surrendering in batches to the Russian military near Liman.






Allied forces entered Novokalinovo and Novobahmutovka


It is obvious that the activity of the allied forces has increased considerably. I think that the process will only accelerate. We are closely following developments


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